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PolicyIntelPro Briefing — Critical Minerals | Rare Earths | Cobalt | Copper | Lithium | Pax Silica
Wednesday, September 16, 2026
Executive Summary
Daily News Cycle Activity by Topic
Daily stories by topic — month to date
Daily stories by topic — year to date

131 stories were reviewed over the past 24 hours; after removing duplicates and stories outside the tracked topics, 54 are summarized in this report. Today's coverage was concentrated in Lithium (24 stories) and Critical Minerals (22 stories), with Copper, Cobalt, Pax Silica, and Rare Earths each registering modest single-digit counts. Lithium attracted the most media attention today with 24 stories, displacing Critical Minerals, which led the prior day with 43 stories—a difference of 19 stories between the two leading topics across the two periods. This shift indicates a narrowing of the broad critical-minerals policy conversation toward commodity-specific coverage centered on the lithium supply chain.

Critical Minerals

Rwanda is emerging as a focal point for tungsten supply-chain restructuring. Almonty has concluded a Rwanda processing and exploration deal granting the government a 25% stake in Almonty's local subsidiary in exchange for processing and exploration licences, with near-term ore to be sourced from artisanal miners while a centralised facility is planned for a subsequent phase — a structure driven in part by US Defense Department traceability rules taking effect 1 January 2027 that will bar tungsten linked to Chinese, Russian, or North Korean supply chains. Separately, Aterian's Rwandan subsidiary Eastinco has raised £180,000 to trial tungsten trading, issuing a zero-coupon convertible loan note to fund operational systems and expanded premises for aggregating wolframite concentrates from approved Rwandan suppliers, broadening the platform beyond its existing tantalum business. In Europe, Tungsten West has confirmed plans to restart Hemerdon mine by Q1 2027, installing six TOMRA XRT ore sorters with deep-learning technology at the Devon site following a £71 million National Wealth Fund investment, with reserves estimated to represent approximately 4.1% of global production. EQ Resources, meanwhile, is advancing a signed an atomic energy MoU alongside 12 other cooperation documents — including crude oil and science accords — as Seoul's Prime Minister called for ties to expand beyond uranium and oil into lithium and critical minerals. South Korea simultaneously upgraded Kazakhstan ties and expanded Turkmenistan cooperation covering energy, AI, infrastructure, and critical minerals. At the inaugural Korea-Central Asia Summit, President Lee Jae-myung called for full-cycle minerals cooperation spanning exploration, smelting, processing, and finished-product manufacturing with the five Central Asian states, pledging rare-metals centres at key regional hubs. Korea also signed 35 deals with Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan covering critical minerals, railways, energy, and digital industries. Canada's Prime Minister Carney separately indicated that a Canada-EU alliance covers critical minerals alongside energy, space technology, and AI. Twelve EU member states are pressing for a stronger European presence in the Arctic amid competition over critical raw materials and shipping routes as Russian military activity and interest in Greenland intensify geopolitical stakes.

US legislative and funding activity was substantial. The DOE selected four projects to receive $73 million for mining testbeds under its Mine of the Future initiative, spanning sites in Virginia, West Virginia, Colorado, Arizona, Missouri, and Texas to validate digital, automation, electrification, and advanced processing technologies at field scale. A $16 million PROSPECT Planning Prize was announced to support academic institutions training skilled professionals for critical minerals and energy innovation. The House passed the BRACE Act modernising battery recycling rules, directing the EPA to update hazardous-waste regulations predating lithium-ion batteries to allow on-site storage and recycling, aiming to recover lithium, cobalt, nickel, and copper domestically. A bipartisan bill, the Critical Materials Future Act, was introduced, proposing a DOE pilot programme to finance domestic critical materials processing projects and study financial instruments such as contracts for differences, with a Senate companion measure already in place. The House also passed the EMRTAI Authorization Act expanding EPA recovery of critical minerals from contaminated sites and waste streams. US1 Critical Minerals has entered an agreement with Bradda Head Lithium, though further details remain limited to the public teaser. The DOE also awarded COnovate a $1.25 million eCOphite anode contract to scale a graphene-monoxide-based anode material producible from domestic renewable feedstocks as a substitute for mined graphite in lithium-ion batteries, with a particular focus on improving state-of-charge accuracy in LFP chemistries.

Africa's broader critical-minerals pipeline has expanded 36% to 658 projects since early 2025 across bauxite, cobalt, copper, graphite, lithium, manganese, nickel, and platinum, according to an Africa Business+ and EY database — but production grew only 11% against an 82% jump in exploration and 70% rise in development projects, with 27 of 32 newly added lithium projects still at the exploration stage across 13 countries led by Zimbabwe and Nigeria. Established mine expansions are seen as the fastest route to incremental supply, with First Quantum's Kansanshi third train now producing and Barrick targeting first copper from Lumwana's expansion in Q1 2028, while Ivanhoe Mines increased its Makoko district resource to approximately 12 million tonnes of contained copper and expects commercial production at Platreef in Q4 with a stage-two expansion targeting more than 450,000 oz of platinum-group metals annually by end-2027. In Saskatchewan, Triton Uranium has completed technical reports outlining Asian economies must lead forced-labour due diligence in critical mineral supply chains, noting that US Customs detained 6,636 shipments under the UFLPA in the first half of 2025 alone — surpassing the 2024 full-year total — with 79% of detentions originating from Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, and Laos, and that South Korea's net import reliance for critical minerals stands at 99.7%. The India-Australia Critical Minerals and Green Steel Research Partnerships, backed by a combined A$22.6 million government investment launched in 2023, have concluded their formal programmes, delivering advances including a world-first full-scale demonstration of rice-husk biomass gasification for steelmaking at Jindal Steel in Odisha and new methods for critical mineral discovery, extraction, and processing.

Copper

Osisko Metals (TSX:OM) is spinning out New Brunswick assets into a new entity, Osisko Critical Minerals (OCMC), which will hold 645 km² of mineral exploration properties comprising 2,972 claim units focused on copper-silver-gold porphyry systems; the parent company will retain a minority interest in OCMC while concentrating on its flagship Gaspé Copper project in Québec, which hosts pit-constrained measured and indicated resources of 1.83 billion tonnes averaging 0.32% copper equivalent. OCMC's primary holding, the NB Copper Project, sits within the Popelogan-Victoria Arc and features multiple copper-bearing zones and skarn mineralisation across a 5 km by 2 km area, along with 21 unevaluated porphyry intrusions; the Bathurst Mining Camp properties, including Key Anacon, are also transferred to the spinout vehicle, with an aggressive drilling program planned once financing is secured and regulatory approvals obtained.

Hancock Prospecting has agreed to invest A$8.77 million in White Cliff Minerals, acquiring an expected 13.5% stake through a placement of 515.79 million shares at A$0.017 each, subject to shareholder approval at an extraordinary general meeting expected around 19 October. The proceeds will fund an expanded drilling campaign at the Rae Copper Project in Nunavut, Canada, where previous drilling at the Danvers system has returned high-grade intersections including 90 metres at 4.0% copper and 19.81 metres at 6.64% copper; the next phase will focus on increasing drill density at Danvers 1 toward a maiden mineral resource estimate and conducting step-out drilling at Danvers 2 and Danvers 3 to test mineralisation continuity.

In broader copper-demand context, the global magnet wire market — a key downstream consumption channel for high-grade copper — is projected to grow from USD 39.22 billion in 2025 to USD 66.6 billion by 2035 at a CAGR of 5.44%, driven by electrification of vehicles, renewable energy deployment, and smart-grid infrastructure investment, with Asia-Pacific forecast to be the fastest-growing regional segment at an 8.9% CAGR during the period.

Cobalt

The Minnesota Department of Natural Resources' 60-day scoping period closed on September 14, 2026, concluding a procedural milestone in the Environmental Impact Statement review for Talon Metals and Rio Tinto's joint-venture Tamarack Nickel-Copper-Cobalt Project in central Minnesota. Separately, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt joined more than a dozen global mining and supply chain companies—including Zijin Mining, Jiangxi Copper, and CMOC Group—to launch the GMSA initiative at the UN Global Compact's second Global Enterprise High-Quality Belt and Road Summit in Singapore; the framework targets green mine construction, low-carbon technology adoption, ecological restoration, human rights safeguards, supply chain due diligence, and improved corporate governance and disclosure across the sector.

Lithium

Ganfeng Lithium has completed a US$180 million convertible note investment in Lithium Argentina, with proceeds combined with existing cash to retire US$259 million in notes due January 2027; the two partners are simultaneously formalizing a joint venture in which Ganfeng will hold a 67% stake and operator role at the Pozuelos-Pastos Grandes project in Salta, targeting 50,000 t/y of lithium carbonate equivalent in Phase 1 of a project with full buildout capex of US$3.3 billion and ultimate capacity of 150,000 t/y, while both companies also continue Cauchari-Olaroz phase 2 expansion toward 85,000 t/y. In Western Australia, Global Lithium Resources released a Manna-Nova integration study showing that routing ore through the newly acquired Nova plant lifts the project's commenced operations at Covington, Georgia, North America's first commercial-scale lithium carbonate recovery facility producing 99% purity material from 100% recycled black mass, backed by US$15 million in Series A funding and approximately US$1 billion in signed offtake agreements including Trafigura, with the facility projected to account for more than 50% of US lithium carbonate production in 2027. Smackover Lithium published a preliminary assessment of its Franklin, Texas brine project showing up to 70,000 t/y lithium carbonate at some of the highest lithium-in-brine concentrations reported in North America, with average annual production of 65,000 tonnes over roughly 20 years and initial output possible in the early 2030s. A1 Lithium, a subsidiary of Anson Resources, announced advancement of its Green River, Utah project after receiving state tax incentives and port authority approval, projecting 10,000 t/y of lithium carbonate from 2028 and an estimated US$425 million in new tax revenue alongside 138 jobs, with a memorandum of understanding with Utah State University to develop workforce training beginning in 2027.

On supply-chain linkages, E3 Lithium signed a non-binding MOU with India's Epsilon CAM to explore up to 5,000 t/y offtake of battery-grade lithium carbonate from the Clearwater Project in Alberta, representing up to 40% of E3's planned Stage 1 capacity of 12,000 t/y, to supply Epsilon's 30,000 t/y LFP cathode facility in India targeting Phase 1 completion by early 2028. In Chile, Rain City Resources entered a technology evaluation agreement with Quiborax to test its AC²ME extraction platform at the El Aguila project in the Arica and Parinacota Region, the first contract under Chile's CEOL framework involving a wholly private company, covering up to 20,000 tonnes of LCE from historical processing residues through 2046. Lake Resources outlined the status of its lease a Tainan factory and install equipment to produce LFP precursor materials under a 20-year supply agreement with an undisclosed North American customer, with trial production scheduled for January 2027 and commercial shipments from July 2027 at an initial capacity of 25,000–50,000 t/y, expandable to 100,000 t/y; the company separately finalized the Tainan plant location in Liuying District with mass production set for July next year, positioning itself as one of few non-Chinese LFP cathode manufacturers. In Morocco, OCP Green Energy completed installation of a 25MW/125MWh LFP storage system at Benguerir — the country's first large-scale LFP BESS — now undergoing commissioning, with equipment supplied by Envision and approximately MAD170 million invested alongside US$20 million from the African Development Bank's Clean Technology Fund. Dubai's Supreme Council of Energy disclosed plans for a 1,000–2,000MW lithium-ion storage facility delivering 6,000MWh of capacity, expected to be completed between 2027 and 2029 and likely to be the largest battery storage facility in the region.

In Europe, Novacium and Tokai COBEX launched exploratory work to evaluate combining Novacium's silicon-based anode materials with Tokai COBEX's 99.99% purity French synthetic graphite into a composite anode targeting a sovereign, low-carbon European supply chain for high-capacity lithium-ion cells, with both R&D teams located in the Lyon area to accelerate testing cycles. The Nasdaq-listed Critical Metals Corporation confirmed its acquisition of ASX-listed European Lithium is approaching completion after the Supreme Court of Western Australia authorized shareholder meetings to proceed, with the deal expected to close by November. Fulcrum Lithium appointed Scott Keenan, its Chief Operating Officer since its November 2024 IPO, as Managing Director effective 16 September 2026, with an annual salary of A$360,000 and up to 4,000,000 performance rights subject to shareholder approval, following the company's maiden mineral resource estimate at its Alkali Flats project in Nevada. Lithium Universe agreed to a four-year CSIRO collaboration with Macquarie University to develop microwave-assisted separation technology for end-of-life solar panels, targeting recovery of glass, silicon, silver, and other metals without crushing, with project commencement expected roughly six months after the expression-of-interest round closes. Lithium Africa Corp. shares fell 10.43% on deepening selling pressure attributed to broad lithium price weakness and exploration-stage risk sentiment.

On market infrastructure, Fastmarkets selected TMX Trayport as technology partner to underpin Fastmarkets Connect, a digital physical lithium platform designed to support bilateral deal initiation, electronic price discovery, and supply-chain connectivity, with TMX Trayport providing the platform technology and Fastmarkets overseeing governance and market engagement. Researchers at Germany's Federal Institute for Materials Research and Testing published findings showing that lithium isotope distribution fingerprints aging in NMC/graphite cells — with lithium-6 accumulating preferentially at the anode and lithium-7 at the cathode after 280 cycles — enabling earlier and more precise degradation detection than capacity-loss measurements alone. A managed reliability program implemented by John Crane at a major battery-grade lithium producer reduced annual seal expenditure by 48% in one year, cutting seal consumption from 427 to 267 units and increasing mean time between repair from 10.2 to 16.5 months across 362 pumps. In Zimbabwe, investigative reporting documents how Chinese-linked lithium mining ventures are operating amid suppressed civic space, with communities near Sabi Star Mine in Buhera district reporting contaminated drinking water and dust pollution from at least 120 daily heavy trucks, while farmers near a newly discovered deposit at Njeza Mountain in Mutare district report exclusion from consultation under ZANU PF-linked project structures. Battery fire risk in waste facilities received renewed attention, with an EPA analysis having identified more than 240 lithium-ion battery-related fires at 64 waste-management facilities between 2013 and 2020, and July 2026 incidents in London illustrating the ongoing hazard at recycling sites as end-of-life battery volumes continue to grow.

Pax Silica

The Luzon Economic Corridor Investment Forum served as the ceremonial launch of Pax Silica in the Philippines, drawing President Marcos, US Ambassador Lee Lipton, diplomats from member-countries, and senior Philippine economic officials. The Bases Conversion and Development Authority projects an initial investment of $10 billion scaling to between $40 billion and $70 billion at full development, with forecasts of 190,000 direct jobs, 800,000 indirect jobs, P68 billion to P75 billion in annual tax revenues, and as much as $200 billion in yearly exports. The initiative is positioned to move the Philippines beyond semiconductor assembly into chip design, advanced packaging, AI computing, battery materials, and domestic processing of nickel, copper, and cobalt rather than exporting those minerals in raw form.

Outside the forum venue, leftist groups staged a rally, and the demonstration at the Grand Hyatt Hotel in Bonifacio Global City on September 10 resulted in five paralegals arrested and at least 27 protesters injured after police allegedly used riot shields and batons to disperse the crowd. Among those detained was Kenneth Castor, chief of staff of the University of the Philippines Office of the Student Regent, alongside paralegals Jona Yang, Mara Peralta, Daya Juliano, and RC Placido. Rights group KARAPATAN characterized the arrests as rights violations, and the UP Office of the Student Regent issued a condemnation demanding Castor's immediate release.

Protest groups warned that planned AI data centers and semiconductor plants across roughly 1,620 hectares in New Clark City, Tarlac, risk displacing indigenous communities and urban poor residents while deepening foreign economic control and expanding foreign military presence. In response to the sovereignty concerns circulating among critics, a detailed rebuttal argued that Philippine land under Pax Silica remains government property leased under domestic law, with foreign investors subject to the Foreign Investments Act, the Labor Code, the Competition Act, environmental regulations, and other statutes — directly countering the claim of sovereignty surrender. The same analysis acknowledged that existing Philippine technology regulations require legislative updating to address generative AI, frontier models, algorithmic accountability, hyperscale computing, and semiconductor security controls, and flagged the risk that the project could become harmful if contracts are negotiated in secret, incentives become excessive, or government concessions are monopolized by cronies.

Rare Earths

The Pentagon directed $750 million into a special-purpose vehicle to fund USA Rare Earth, which then acquired Brazilian miner Serra Verde, with the US government holding a 10 percent equity stake and a 15-year offtake agreement for mixed rare earth carbonate. Serra Verde is distinguished as the first large-scale non-Asian producer capable of supplying heavy rare-earth elements critical to high-performance magnets used in missile guidance systems and other weaponry. The transaction is administered through the Pentagon's Industrial Base Analysis and Sustainment program, whose stated objective includes displacing Chinese and Russian operators from accessing regional mineral resources. Brazilian President Lula da Silva attempted to block the acquisition but was found legally unable to do so under existing Brazilian law. In response, Lula fast-tracked a new critical minerals regulatory framework through the Brazilian Senate, which Congress approved on September 2, providing a potential legislative basis to revisit the deal should Lula win re-election in October. The Serra Verde arrangement mirrors a concurrent Pentagon-backed Venezuelan oil equity deal, with both transactions structured around long-term offtake agreements at guaranteed prices governed by US law, and both carrying substantial political risk given Latin America's history of governments abrogating agreements with US corporate interests.

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