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PolicyIntelPro Briefing — Critical Minerals | Rare Earths | Cobalt | Copper | Lithium | Pax Silica
Tuesday, October 13, 2026
Executive Summary
Daily News Cycle Activity by Topic
Daily stories by topic — month to date
Daily stories by topic — year to date

138 stories were reviewed over the past 24 hours; after removing duplicates and stories outside the tracked topics, 64 are summarized in this report. Today's coverage was led by Lithium with 31 stories, followed by Critical Minerals at 20 and Rare Earths at 9, while Copper and Cobalt each drew only 2 stories and Pax Silica generated no coverage. Lithium also ranked as the most-active topic in the prior reporting period, meaning no change in topic leadership occurred between the two days. All tracked categories except Rare Earths recorded declines in story volume relative to the prior period, indicating a broad moderation in media activity across the critical-minerals landscape.

Critical Minerals

Central Asia's critical minerals export infrastructure faces acute stress in 2026: with the southern gateway disrupted by the US–Israeli conflict with Iran and the Afghanistan–Pakistan border closed since October 2025, the Trans-Caspian Middle Corridor has absorbed a surge in demand, with container volumes running 450–500% above year-earlier levels within days of the first strikes, while Aktau dredging, the Anaklia port state project, and the US-brokered TRIPP corridor through southern Armenia remain works in progress through 2027–2029. Separately, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan are racing up the mineral value ladder as China, the US and Europe compete for rare earths, tungsten and uranium from the region.

Tungsten supply-chain developments dominated corporate news. The proposed merger of Skyline Builders Group with Cove Kaz Capital Group would place Kazakhstan's Northern Katpar and Upper Kairakty deposits — together holding an estimated 1.4 million metric tons of tungsten trioxide and capable of supplying 15% of global output — under a new Nasdaq-listed entity, Kaz Resources Inc., with EXIM indicative financing interest of up to $900 million and DFC potential support of up to $700 million cited. In Australia, Stelar Metals launched its maiden 3,500m RC drilling program at the Hill of Leaders project in the Northern Territory, the first-ever bedrock test of a system discovered in 1951, with surface grades reaching 15.69% WO3, against a backdrop of Chinese export controls and a US Department of War prohibition on Chinese-sourced tungsten taking effect 1 January 2027. Also targeting US government funding, Perpetual Resources and GreenMet are tour the Elk Creek project on October 14, 2026, as EXIM's review of potential debt financing under its Make More in America initiative continues for the niobium, scandium, titanium and rare earth project. A Columbia Engineering symposium convened government, industry and finance leaders who underscored that the US lists €21 billion in investment spanning lithium, cobalt, graphite, tungsten and rare earths to reduce dependence on China. India and Chile are advancing a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement that places critical minerals at its strategic core, with Chile's lithium and copper reserves identified as essential to India's EV and battery manufacturing ambitions. Zambia concluded a $2.5 billion health agreement with the United States after successfully separating health talks from parallel critical minerals negotiations. South Africa's International Relations Minister warned that intensifying global competition for minerals risks a new "scramble for Africa" unless partnerships include genuine structural transformation, a concern echoed in analysis arguing that South Africa must resolve logistics, energy and policy constraints before downstream mineral value chains become bankable.

On the exploration and capital markets side, Tali Resources commenced an

Florence Copper reached a domestic supply milestone on February 26, 2026, when it produced its first copper cathode, becoming the first major new source of U.S. copper production in nearly two decades; the world's first greenfield commercial in-situ copper recovery operation is expected to yield approximately 85 million pounds of copper cathode annually at full capacity, representing a roughly 5% increase above 2025 U.S. refined copper output levels. Representative Juan Ciscomani and EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin joined Florence Copper leadership to mark the production milestone, with Zeldin citing hundreds of jobs and billions of dollars in projected economic activity for Arizona. Ciscomani's Critical Mineral Consistency Act, which has passed the House, aligns the Departments of Energy and Interior on critical mineral definitions to streamline permitting and attract investment, with direct implications for copper project approvals across Arizona. Additional federal support for the state includes a $20 million DOE investment in the University of Arizona's School of Mining Engineering and Mineral Resources, alongside a $1 billion commitment to the Santa Cruz Copper Project and $180 million for mining education. Separately, Lion Copper Corp. is presenting at a virtual conference on October 13th, targeting individual and institutional investors as well as advisors and analysts.

Cobalt

The global portable battery pack market is projected to reach a compound annual growth rate of 8.2% through 2035, with the shift from NMC to LFP chemistry reducing cobalt dependence across the outdoor recreation, emergency preparedness, and off-grid segments; LFP adoption enhances cycle life and safety while diminishing the role of cobalt in portable energy storage at scale. The Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative's reporting framework, covering 56 countries and approximately 3,900 entities, is reshaping how cobalt-producing governments capture mineral revenue, with EITI-commissioned analysis of the Sicomines copper-cobalt agreement identifying unfulfilled infrastructure commitments and altered profit allocations that contributed to a renegotiated deal raising planned infrastructure investment to $7 billion from $3 billion. The DRC subsequently applied fiscal modelling to four large copper-cobalt projects, identifying billions in potential revenue risks and extending project-level analysis to operations representing roughly 80% of the country's mining fiscal revenue. Beneficial-ownership disclosures under the same framework are influencing licensing decisions across multiple jurisdictions, with Armenia rejecting an exploration application and Ghana declining a licence renewal after cross-checks revealed unreliable ownership disclosures and beneficial owners with criminal records, demonstrating that transparency reshaping licence decisions now carries direct implications for project access in critical-mineral corridors. A 2026 study covering 83 developing countries found EITI implementation increased natural-resource revenue durably, with benefits persisting for up to a decade, though a separate 2025 study found no measurable improvement in corruption perceptions, underscoring that data disclosure requires institutional capacity to produce governance gains.

Lithium

Chinese lithium carbonate futures recorded their steepest single-day fall since March, with the most-active Guangzhou Futures Exchange contract touching a nearly 10-month low of 104,680 yuan per metric ton on Monday, as a China-EU deal to cut Chinese hybrid car exports by more than half exacerbated demand concerns; shares in Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium fell 5.1% and 3.9%, respectively. The contract extended its decline into a ninth consecutive losing session by midday on October 13, falling below 110,000 yuan. A detailed market analysis identified the pricing shift as a move from "current destocking" to "forward surplus" repricing, driven by the re-entry of the Jianxiawo lithium mine environmental assessment into the public notice stage, a safety approval for a second Jiangxi lepidolite mine project, and the resumption of lithium concentrate shipments from Zimbabwe and select Australian and African operations — all prompting the market to price in 2027 supply growth ahead of schedule. Australian lithium equities felt the pressure, with PLS Group and Mineral Resources down roughly 4% each at midday Tuesday, and a broader analysis noted that PLS has halved since June as peers MinRes, IGO, and Liontown also tumbled.

On the supply-chain and offtake front, EnergyX signed a binding, definitive 10-year, 100,000-tonne offtake with Trafigura — the company's first publicly announced commercial deal — valued at over $2 billion at current prices of approximately $20,000 per metric ton, covering lithium carbonate from Project Black Giant in Chile and lithium hydroxide from Project Lonestar in Texas, with Trafigura taking 66% of Black Giant Phase 1 and 30% of Lonestar Phase 1 offtake; EnergyX targets commercial production at Black Giant in 2028 and at Lonestar in 2029 and is pursuing additional buyers to reach 80% offtake, supported by a $690 million U.S. EXIM Bank letter of intent and a $225 million Eni strategic investment in Black Giant.

The European Commission selected 46 additional strategic projects for critical raw materials across 16 member states, of which three target lithium extraction: the Zinnwald hard-rock mine in Saxony operated by AMG Critical Materials, a geothermal lithium extraction project in Northern Alsace by Lithium de France targeting 27,000 tonnes per year of battery-grade output alongside 2 TWh of heat, and Neptune Energy Innovations' ALE – Altmark Lithium Extraction project from deep thermal waters in Germany; together with previously approved projects, the EU's endorsed portfolio is now projected to fully meet the bloc's 2030 extraction and processing benchmarks for lithium. In Portugal, Sedgman was awarded the oversubscribed US$7.6 million funding round co-led by Shift4Good and SGInnovate, alongside the commissioning of its 1,300-tonne-per-year Tuas plant — the facility uses a patented electrochemical redox targeting process that the company states generates up to 83% lower emissions than conventional hydrometallurgical or pyrometallurgical methods, with capital earmarked for technology scale-up and international expansion into Europe and the United States.

On the exploration and development front, Fulcrum Lithium received Bureau of Land Management approval for a maiden 11-hole drill program at its wholly owned Dry Canyon claystone project in Lander County, Nevada — where surface sampling returned assays of up to 1,219 ppm lithium — with drill rig sourcing underway and a Q4 2026 commencement target. Australasian Metals is preparing access tracks for an auger drilling campaign restart at the Atex lithium project in northern Côte d'Ivoire following a two-year gap, under a 90-day exclusive option to acquire up to 75% of the project from Firering Strategic Minerals. Lithium Plus Minerals is targeting a weighs up to 19.4 kg less than the original nickel-cadmium system. An Australian-developed uncrewed aircraft completed an endurance flight of nearly two hours powered by lithium-sulfur batteries and ultra-lightweight perovskite solar arrays. Alkemy's TVL announced plans to open a lithium validation center at Billingham. Taiwan's state utility Taipower and domestic battery cell sector are pursuing a two-track strategy that includes localized lithium battery cells alongside grid resilience measures to address power constraints at AI computing hubs. On safety, a lithium-ion battery was identified as the probable cause of a fire rendering a Wisconsin condo uninhabitable, and a nine-month-old infant in South Korea was airlifted by fire helicopter and successfully treated after swallowing a coin-type lithium battery, with the battery removed via endoscopy without complications.

Pax Silica

No significant news today on this issue. Check back tomorrow!

Rare Earths

Lynas Rare Earths has presented plans to build a rare earth oxide separation plant in Brazil's Minas Gerais state, with state development bank BNDES evaluating financing for what officials describe as a potential milestone in domestic value-chain development. The proposal is linked to Lynas' $672 million Meteoric Resources acquisition, whose Caldeira project carries a mineral resource of 1.63 billion tonnes grading 2,317 ppm total rare earth oxides and is designed to produce approximately 12,500 tonnes of rare earth oxides annually over a 23-year mine life. BNDES is expected to conduct a technical visit to Lynas' Australian operations before end-2026, and the transaction is expected to be among the first deals evaluated under Brazil's newly enacted critical minerals policy, which established the National Council for the Industrialization of Critical and Strategic Minerals.

In Europe, Greenland Mines has welcomed the European Commission's October 9 designation of Neo Performance Materials' Silmet 2.0 as a Strategic Project under the EU's Critical Raw Materials Act, positioning the company's Sarfartoq neodymium-praseodymium project in Greenland as a potential upstream feedstock source for Neo's Estonian separation facility. Neo holds offtake rights for up to 60% of future Sarfartoq ore or mineral concentrate production, and Greenland Mines frames the arrangement as part of a broader North Atlantic Critical Metals Corridor connecting Greenlandic resources to European and North American markets. The company also noted that a U.S.-Greenland-Denmark security agreement signed September 22, 2026 reinforces Greenland's strategic importance to supply-chain resilience efforts.

In the United States, Hertha Metals has broken ground on Chalyx, a roughly $100 million commercial plant in Conroe, Texas, targeting approximately 10,000 metric tons per year of steel-grade and magnet-grade high-purity iron. The facility is funded through a $133.65 million Series A that included a $65 million U.S. government equity investment, and its primary initial output will serve NdFeB rare earth magnet manufacturers, a market where an estimated 94% of high-purity iron currently originates from China. The plant is expected to come online in late 2027, with magnet-grade iron production beginning in early 2028 using the company's FLEXHERS hydrogen-electric reduction smelting process.

On the corporate development front, Orbit Resources has launched a spin-off IPO for Matrix Critical Minerals, seeking $8–$12 million to advance the Narraburra Rare Earths Project in New South Wales, which hosts a mineral resource of 94.9 million tonnes grading 739 ppm total rare earth oxides with exposure to heavy rare earth elements and yttrium. Eligible Orbit shareholders have been If you were forwarded this message and want to receive the Critical Minerals Briefing directly to your inbox daily, subscribe today at: www.criticalmineralsbriefing.policyintelpro.com. Subscribers can also choose delivery through our private Substack and Slack channels.

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