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PolicyIntelPro Briefing — Critical Minerals | Rare Earths | Cobalt | Copper | Lithium | Pax Silica
Thursday, November 05, 2026
Executive Summary
Daily News Cycle Activity by Topic
Daily stories by topic — month to date
Daily stories by topic — year to date

130 stories were reviewed over the past 24 hours; after removing duplicates and stories outside the tracked topics, 58 are summarized in this report. Today's coverage is led by Lithium with 24 stories, followed by Critical Minerals with 22 and Rare Earths with 6, while Copper, Cobalt, and Pax Silica registered comparatively light coverage. Lithium also held the top position in the prior reporting period, meaning the leading topic has not changed between cycles. Overall story volumes declined across every tracked category relative to the prior day, indicating a broad reduction in media activity rather than a shift in thematic focus.

Critical Minerals

India's Union Cabinet approved the ₹2,814 crore processing scheme to establish domestic lithium and nickel refining capacity, running from FY 2026-27 through FY 2030-31; the programme provides a 30% capital subsidy for four processing plants — two lithium facilities with minimum capacity of 30 kt each and two nickel facilities at 50 kt each — with subsidies capped at ₹500 crore per lithium beneficiary and ₹900 crore per nickel beneficiary, while cobalt is expected as a nickel by-product. The scheme covers 24 critical minerals from both mined and recycled sources, and was approved alongside a separate energy storage initiative targeting 30 GWh of battery storage, 60 GWh of pumped storage, and 2 GWh for emerging technologies, with the combined financial outlay exceeding $1.8 million. The Cabinet's objective, as framed by Prime Minister Modi, is to convert ores into high-purity compounds domestically rather than depend on imports of refined intermediates, an ambition the government described as essential to electric mobility, battery energy storage, electronics, defence, and speciality steel. The strategic rationale for moving beyond extraction to refining reflects concern that processing remains geographically concentrated globally, exposing supply chains to geopolitical disruption. Separately, India is exploring critical minerals cooperation with Poland following a ministerial visit to Warsaw by Minister of State Jitin Prasada, accompanied by a delegation of 12 Indian companies, with discussions covering semiconductors, AI, and technology transfer under the Make in India framework.

China is mobilising state-linked companies to acquire larger ownership stakes in overseas mines producing lithium, cobalt, nickel, and copper, establishing a dedicated overseas bureau to coordinate central state-owned enterprise investments abroad; Rhodium Group data cited in coverage shows China's global mineral acquisitions reached $8.8 billion in the first three quarters of this year, already the highest annual total since at least 2018. In response to this dominance, the UK Parliament's business, innovation, science and trade committee warned that Britain is dangerously exposed to coercion given its dependence on Chinese supplies of copper, lithium, and cobalt for rearmament and AI infrastructure, and recommended a five-point strategy including a new Critical Minerals Finance Facility, allied buyers' clubs to share costs of new facilities, and reforms to allow British International Investment to take equity stakes in overseas mines. The committee found the government failed all 10 tests set for de-risking UK supply chains, citing inadequate geological surveys, uneconomic domestic processing driven by high energy costs, and the export of roughly 80% of UK scrap metal rather than recycling it at home. At the sub-national level, Utah's Mission Critical strategy is accelerating efforts to fast-track mining, processing, and investment to strengthen US supply chains.

At the project level, Fox Tungsten is approaching 20,000 metres drilled at its flagship British Columbia tungsten project, with Ausenco Engineering appointed as lead consultant for a preliminary economic assessment targeted for May 2027 and an updated mineral resource estimate expected in February 2027; drilling has also expanded to the adjacent Silverboss property targeting molybdenum and copper. Saga Metals completed a four-hole, 1,010-metre HQ program at Trapper North on its Radar Titanium-Vanadium-Iron Project in Labrador, recovering large-diameter core for metallurgical test work to support PEA/PFS-level evaluation, with hole R-0096 logging 259.9 metres of oxide units and Temas Resources applying its proprietary Regenerative Chloride Leach technology for processing. Aldoro Resources signed an MOU with Singapore-based Willetech International Investment giving Willetech

Ivanhoe Mines has cut its 2027 Kamoa-Kakula forecast for the second time this year, now targeting 300,000 to 350,000 tonnes of copper — down from 380,000 to 420,000 tonnes — after citing prolonged high diesel prices, lower ore grades, and reduced production. The company simultaneously raised 2027 C1 cost guidance to $2.50–$3.00 per pound from $2.10–$2.50, and lowered the steady-state annual production capacity of the existing Phase 1, 2, and 3 concentrators to 400,000–450,000 tonnes. A further setback emerged as Ivanhoe now expects eastern Kakula mining to restart in late March 2028 rather than late 2027, following additional geological and engineering work. To improve operational flexibility, the company plans to introduce open-pit mining beginning with waste stripping in Q1 2027 and first ore in Q3 2027. Full-year 2026 output is expected to reach approximately 290,000 tonnes, while 2027 capital spending guidance stands at $950 million to $1.15 billion, with an additional $100–$200 million for open-pit pre-stripping. Ivanhoe also plans to begin detailed engineering for a Phase 4 concentrator expansion in Q1 2027, though that project has not yet received formal approval.

On the supply-investment side, Hudbay Minerals agreed to lead a C$49.8 million investment in Pecoy Copper, which is exploring an undeveloped copper-gold project in southern Peru; Hudbay will contribute C$30.1 million, with a second unnamed strategic investor providing C$19.7 million, each holding just under 10% of Pecoy following the financing. Copper prices on the London Metal Exchange meanwhile fell 2.1% to $14,034 per tonne on Tuesday, their lowest level since mid-August, as uncertainty surrounding the US midterm elections weighed on metals markets.

In Colombia, the government's Deputy Mines Minister identified copper as a major opportunity for the country's mining sector, signalling an intent to expand beyond established gold and coal industries. That policy context frames a broader effort to reverse a steep contraction in foreign mining investment, which fell 88% to $178 million in 2025 from $1.51 billion in 2022; the government's Economic Rescue Bill, submitted to Congress on October 29, includes a Single Regime to Generate Business Stability intended to improve private investment conditions. Within that environment, Colombia's environmental regulator is scheduled to hold a public hearing on November 10 to consider permit changes for B2Gold's $740 million Gramalote gold project in Antioquia, a step that, if cleared, would put the project on track for environmental approval in January 2027 and construction commencement the following month, with planned production starting in late 2029.

Cobalt

Africa supplies around 70% of global cobalt yet captures less than 1% of the value generated from clean energy technology manufacturing, a disparity the IEA's 2025 report addresses by identifying mineral processing as a growth area alongside low-emission industrial materials and clean energy equipment. The Democratic Republic of Congo and Zambia are specifically cited as having resources that could support processed cobalt and copper production, while East African nations are positioned for spherical graphite output and South Africa and Gabon for high-purity manganese sulphate. Under the IEA's high-potential scenario, the African mineral sector value could reach $120 billion by 2040, nearly 75% above current levels. The analysis further notes that countries with renewable electricity resources could leverage low-carbon power and green hydrogen to produce iron and ammonia, with low-emission iron exports potentially commanding four times the value of equivalent iron ore at prevailing prices. India's solar manufacturing trajectory — where capacity grew from 2.3 GW in 2014 to approximately 172 GW by March 2026 through production-linked incentives and domestic-content requirements — is cited as a policy model for Africa, contingent on pairing manufacturing incentives with investment in regional supply chains and technology development.

Lithium

India's Union Cabinet approved the ₹2,814 crore capex support scheme for critical mineral processing, providing a 30% capital subsidy across four plants — two lithium facilities (minimum 30,000 tonnes each) and two nickel facilities (minimum 50,000 tonnes each), with per-beneficiary caps of ₹500 crore and ₹900 crore respectively, running from FY 2026–27 through 2030–31. Alongside this, the Cabinet separately allocated INR 14,500 crore in viability gap funding for 92 GWh of grid-scale energy storage capacity, with a mandatory 40% domestic content requirement for BESS projects, as India moves to reduce dependence on Chinese battery materials and components. The Federation of Indian Mineral Industries welcomed the processing scheme while cautioning that securing adequate raw materials would be critical to its success.

Albemarle reported that energy storage sector sales rose 57.9% year-on-year to $1.1188 billion in Q3, driven by a near-doubling of the average lithium selling price to $20.02 per kilogram, even as volumes fell 18.8% to 56,000 tonnes in lithium carbonate equivalent; the company cautioned that Q4 sales and adjusted EBITDA in the segment will decline as prices soften.

In exploration and project development, First Lithium secured three-year Mali licence renewals for its Gouna and Faraba permits and is now targeting a maiden JORC mineral resource estimate in Q4 2026, against a backdrop of Mali's expanding lithium industry including exports from the Goulamina and Bougouni operations. Greenwing Resources defended its circa A$200 million San Jorge deal in Argentina after a 30% share-price drop followed the transaction. Brunswick Exploration reported a broad Anais lithium interval from drilling at its Anatacau Main Project in Québec. Jindalee Lithium cleared an SEC step toward a Nasdaq listing for its McDermitt Lithium Project in Oregon, targeting completion in the December quarter. ELEKTROS Inc. disclosed it is conducting an initial assessment of a hard-rock lithium property in northern New York near the Canadian border, with no mineral resource verified and no acquisition completed, as confirmed across separate early-stage disclosures and additional company communications. A screen of lithium equities flagged Critical Metals' Tanbreez pegmatite project in Greenland, Atlas Lithium's Brazilian Minas Gerais project, and 5E Advanced Materials' Fort Cady borate-lithium project in California as names trading at significant discounts to assessed fair value, each carrying early-stage financing risk. Lithium Americas continues to attract scrutiny, with analysts examining whether a 61.69% EPS reading justifies its current USD 1.90 share price. A separate technical note flagged risks for ASX lithium stocks including BHP, Rio Tinto, and Pilbara Minerals.

On the technology front, researchers at Pohang University of Science and Technology developed a ferroelectric polymer anode shield using β-PVDF and fluorinated boron nitride that suppresses polysulfide migration and enabled lithium-sulfur cells to retain 80.4% of initial capacity after more than 500 charge-discharge cycles, with performance confirmed in pouch-cell formats. Li-S Energy completed 1,000-metre pressure testing of its lithium-sulfur cells in collaboration with undersea systems specialist MSubs, with no mechanical damage or voltage instability recorded, and plans for deeper testing and an open-water unmanned underwater vehicle trial. Separately, researchers published findings on a screen-printed ultrathin lithium anode array using a molten salt-derived nanocomposite that achieves foils below 30 µm and energy densities up to 504 Wh kg⁻¹ in both liquid- and solid-state systems. Ampace showcased two-wheeler lithium battery solutions at EICMA Milan, including cylindrical off-road cells with tabless design and a commercially scaled battery-swapping network operating across Africa, Southeast Asia, and Latin America.

On public safety, Boston fire investigators determined that lithium-ion thermal runaway in batteries stored in plastic toolboxes caused the Dorchester blaze that killed 24-year veteran firefighter Robert Kilduff Jr. in May, with the Fire Commissioner calling for adherence to manufacturer storage and charging guidelines; a Boston city councilor subsequently filed a hearing order to examine regulations for lithium-ion batteries in e-bikes, scooters, and other micromobility devices. Finally, an investigation drawing on confidential ICBC London bank records found that the state lender financed Chinese energy firms' international expansion, with loans in Africa, South America, and other regions helping China secure copper, lithium, and other commodities needed to support its economic transformation and extend geopolitical influence in re

Pax Silica

The Philippines is awaiting the U.S. draft response to the Pax Silica Initiative Framework Agreement, with Palace Press Officer Claire Castro confirming that the Bases Conversion and Development Authority has already met with the Office of the President — through the Office of the Executive Secretary — following a joint memorandum submitted with the Department of Trade and Industry, and that guidance has been issued to BCDA for use in finalizing the arrangement with the U.S. counterpart. Malacañang offered an ambiguous signal on timing, with Castro saying "let us see" when asked whether President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. would sign the framework during the 49th ASEAN Summit scheduled for 16 to 18 November in Manila, and social media speculation has circulated that the signing could coincide with U.S. President Donald Trump's confirmed attendance at the summit. On land use, Castro noted that only roughly 3,000 of the over 6,000 designated hectares constitute a buildable zone for construction, with the remainder reserved for indigenous communities. Regarding displacement, BCDA President and CEO Joshua Bingcang previously disclosed that approximately 200 Aetas face relocation, and Castro confirmed that financial assistance and relocation sites will be provided to any affected residents within the buildable zone, with BCDA having already conducted consultations in Capas, Tarlac.

Rare Earths

Kenya's Mining Minister Hassan Joho confirmed that a technical committee is evaluating five Mrima Hill proposals for the development of a niobium and rare earth deposit, with an award announcement expected within two to three weeks; the Australian consortium of RareX and Iluka Resources submitted a bid on Oct. 21, while Nasdaq-listed Critical Metals Corp. said its consortium had been shortlisted for the final bidding stage. Local farmers representing some 500 registered members warn they have received no information on how the project would affect their land, and members of the Digo community have stated they will oppose digging at the kaya, a national-monument sacred forest where their ancestors are buried. A 2013 projection placed the deposit's potential gross revenue at approximately $62 billion over 23 years, though that figure excluded development and operating costs.

In India, TEXMiN — the technology translation research park hosted at IIT (ISM) Dhanbad under the Department of Science and Technology — entered into a strategic alliance with Magnora RE Tech to develop a domestic value chain spanning critical mineral resources, rare earth elements, and finished rare earth permanent magnets for use in electric vehicles, renewable energy systems, and advanced electronics, with ELITech Earth Science providing project management consultancy; the initiative is aligned with India's National Critical Mineral Mission and the Atmanirbhar Bharat framework.

In Canada, Kap Minerals has launched a feasibility study for a processing plant at the former Agrium mine site southwest of Kapuskasing, Ontario, covering process design, environmental issues, permitting, and plant requirements, with completion targeted for approximately one year from now; the company president noted that roughly 14.7 million tons of previous mine materials sit on the surface and that existing road, rail, power, and natural gas infrastructure provides a logistical advantage, with the company intending to produce finished critical mineral products rather than raw materials.

US rare earth producer MP Materials is set to report Q4 earnings with analysts watching for guidance on rare earth policy, China-related risks, and electric vehicle demand, with consensus projecting a loss of one cent per share on revenue of approximately $118.86 million. Separately, ASX-listed Mount Ridley Mines is positioning as an integrated producer with world-class scandium, rare earth, and gallium resources, according to its public announcement.

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