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PolicyIntelPro Briefing — Critical Minerals | Rare Earths | Cobalt | Copper | Lithium | Pax Silica
Thursday, September 17, 2026
Executive Summary
Daily News Cycle Activity by Topic
Daily stories by topic — month to date
Daily stories by topic — year to date

142 stories were reviewed over the past 24 hours; after removing duplicates and stories outside the tracked topics, 60 are summarized in this report. Today's coverage was distributed across six tracked categories, with Critical Minerals leading at 21 stories, followed closely by Lithium at 20, while Copper, Cobalt, and Rare Earths registered moderate activity and Pax Silica remained marginal at a single story. Critical Minerals attracted the most media attention today, representing a shift from the prior day, when Lithium held that position with 39 stories compared to today's 21 — a difference of 18 stories. This rotation reflects a broadening of policy and market focus away from single-commodity coverage toward the wider strategic-minerals landscape.

Critical Minerals

South Korea convened its first leader-level summit with the five Central Asian states in Seoul on September 16, producing over 70 agreements spanning critical minerals, energy, infrastructure, and technology, with a biennial summit framework established and Kazakhstan set to host the next gathering in Astana in 2028. President Lee Jae-myung framed the initiative as a "new Silk Road" partnership aimed at climbing the value chain together rather than limiting cooperation to raw material exports, while the resulting Seoul Declaration institutionalizes cooperation in critical minerals and energy. South Korea and Kazakhstan upgraded ties to a comprehensive strategic partnership covering nuclear energy, crude oil, and critical minerals, and Seoul indicated it would establish rare metals centres in Central Asia for joint research and workforce training. Kyrgyzstan's Minister of Natural Resources separately presented Kyrgyzstan's minerals development strategy at the Korea–Central Asia Business Summit on the sidelines.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen used her State of the Union address to announce that Canada would become the EU's first-ever associate member, with cooperation explicitly covering critical minerals, energy, batteries, and Arctic policy. The deal's mineral dimension traces directly to a US miscalculation: American negotiators had demanded right of first refusal on Canada's minerals, tied to a 50 percent tariff, a demand Canadian mining executives and analysts called structurally impossible and dead on arrival, after which Ottawa accelerated the EU relationship that had been moving slowly since a March 2026 European Investment Bank letter of intent. Canada is the largest single source of US mineral imports at $43.5 billion in 2024, supplying roughly a quarter of US uranium demand and the nickel used in jet-engine superalloys, making the strategic realignment consequential well beyond trade statistics.

The EU's own internal critical minerals programme is under severe strain. Some 23 of the 60 strategic projects selected under the Critical Raw Materials Act face serious financing, permitting, and market-access difficulties, and France's Viridian Lithium, which had been designated a strategic project intended to supply up to 10 percent of EU battery-grade lithium needs, went bankrupt in March after private investors withdrew. The European Commission reports mobilising €1.7 billion for strategic projects since December, but an ODI analysis found no financial commitment for 40 percent of selected projects, while the European Court of Auditors identified funding fragmented across multiple directorates and called for stronger coordination. EU exploration spending is six to seven times lower than competitors, and the bloc's CRMA targets — 10 percent extraction, 40 percent processing, 25 percent recycling by 2030 — are non-binding, cover only some of the 17 designated metals, and obscure material-specific gaps, particularly in rare earth elements. By contrast, red tape and weak targets have left Europe lagging far behind the United States, where the Trump administration has approved nearly $40 billion in mineral-related developments.

Tungsten supply security generated a dense cluster of corporate and policy activity. China accounted for 67,000 of the world's 85,000 tonnes of mined tungsten in 2025, and from January 1, 2027, a DFARS restriction widens to mine-stage origin, eliminating the recycled-material reset on country of origin; tungsten concentrate prices have risen from $750–$850 per metric tonne unit at the start of 2026 to $2,500–$2,800 since late May. In Nevada, Western Star Resources has acquired fourteen lode claims and a 25-year surface-use agreement at its Eagle Point Tungsten Project in Hidalgo County, addressing the split-estate land problem that most frequently stalls US tungsten projects. Also in Nevada, Viking Mines reported wide scheelite zones at Linka, with UV logging identifying mineralisation across multiple holes including a combined 22 metres of visible scheelite over a 24-metre horizon and a previous assay of 14 metres at 0.56 percent WO3; the managing director noted the US government has committed approximately US$150 million toward restarting Nevada tungsten production. In Sweden, Mineral Road Discovery launched the technical execution phase at its Bergslagen Tungsten Project by engaging GeoPool Oy to build a 3D model of the historic Yxsjöberg district to guide drilling and metallurgical analysis of surface tailings containing tungsten, copper, and fluorite, and simultaneously appointed Steve Leahy to its board, the founder and former chairman and CEO of North American Tungsten Corp. In South Korea, Yeongwol County officials visited the Yeongpoong Seokpo Smelter to evaluate a zero-discharge wastewater system — capable of treating up to 4,000 cubic metres per day — for potential adoption at the tungsten-based core mineral industrial complex the county is developing in Gangwon Province. In Africa, Aterian's Rwandan subsidiary Eastinco has started a tungsten trading trial as part of broadening Eastinco into a wider critical minerals trading platform.

Osisko Metals announced plans to spin out a new exploration company focused on critical minerals, transferring its New Brunswick, Canada exploration properties into the new entity to be led by John Burzynski; the spin-out concurrently announced a C$100 million private placement of special warrants priced at C$0.25 per warrant, with Canaccord Genuity acting as lead agent, to fund exploration and development of those New Brunswick properties.

Two further developments round out the day's activity. Queensland researchers have delivered Australia's first grid-connected sodium-sulfur battery, a milestone directed at powering the country's critical minerals refining industry. On supply-chain risk methodology, an analysis of germanium's role in drone warfare and infrared optics argues that small-volume minerals create outsized downstream risks when supply is concentrated and substitution options are limited, reinforcing the need to assess risk by product dependency rather than shipment volume. Additionally, the White House's August 7 announcement of more than $2 billion in domestic mining projects and over $180 million for mining-school investment has created a new legal pathway, as immigration practitioners note that EB-2 National Interest Waiver petitions filed by critical minerals and metallurgy professionals now carry stronger national-priority support given that federal record.

Copper

Institutional forecasts for copper in 2026 remain widely divergent, with the $14,000/t upside test contingent on whether recovering mines and new project ramp-ups can match structural demand from power grids, data centers, and electric-vehicle manufacturing. Median analyst expectations cluster in the low-$12,000s per tonne, while J.P. Morgan projects a quarterly path from $13,500/t in Q2 toward $12,500/t by Q4; Goldman Sachs anticipates a lower range reflecting supply growth and demand sensitivity. On the supply side, the International Copper Study Group's mine output growth of 1.6% trails refined usage growth of the same magnitude, a distinction that matters because concentrate disruptions, smelter constraints, and logistics delays prevent mine recovery from translating immediately into available cathode.

Boliden has agreed to acquire Nexa's controlling stake from Votorantim in an all-share transaction that values the South American polymetallic producer at approximately €3.15 billion on an enterprise-value basis, giving Boliden 64.68% of Nexa's shares and adding zinc and copper mines, smelters, and infrastructure across Peru and Brazil. The implied price of $15.29 per Nexa share represents a 14.2% premium to the last unaffected 20-day volume-weighted average price; the deal is expected to close in Q1 2027, subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals, with a fully committed $2 billion bridge facility supporting a potential minority tender offer.

Osisko Metals has incorporated a wholly-owned subsidiary, Osisko Critical Minerals, which has launched a C$100 million private placement of special warrants priced at C$0.25 each to fund copper exploration across approximately 645 km² of New Brunswick claims prospective for copper, silver, and gold; a best-efforts spinout placement for the new Osisko Critical Minerals Corporation is being led by Canaccord Genuity, with release conditions requiring a final prospectus and TSX Venture Exchange approval within 180 days of closing.

Strategic Minerals has completed 5,000 metres of drilling at its Redmoor tungsten-copper-tin project in Cornwall, with all nine infill drillholes intersecting the full thickness of the sheeted vein system and returning visible copper, tungsten, and tin mineralisation; the programme is on schedule and within budget, and results will feed into metallurgical, geotechnical, and geophysical studies ahead of a planned prefeasibility stage.

In Zambia, Hungary-based EnerSynk Group has signed a 25-year PPA with national utility ZESCO for a planned 500 MW solar project in the Copperbelt Province, establishing the commercial framework for electricity sales that underpins Zambia's broader ambition to reach 3 Mt per year of copper production by 2030; the country currently operates approximately 841 MW of solar capacity and aims to add roughly 6 GW of total generation to reach a 10 GW renewable target by the same date.

ACG Metals has agreed to acquire the Keşkek gold licence in Türkiye for up to US$7.85 million in staged cash payments tied to licence-transfer approval and Environmental Impact Assessment permitting, securing approximately 300,000 tonnes of oxide feed grading 0.90 g/t gold to extend the heap-leach circuit at its Gediktepe mine; the acquisition is strategically linked to copper, as Gediktepe is simultaneously ramping up copper concentrate production following first output on 31 August as part of the mine's sulphide expansion.

Cobalt

Nickel Industries has curtailed its Excelsior Nickel Cobalt facility in Central Sulawesi to approximately 30% of nameplate capacity after El Niño drought cuts output, delaying the contribution of new battery-grade mixed hydroxide precipitate volumes to the market; the disruption also coincides with broader pressures on Indonesian smelters from higher ore benchmark prices and constrained feedstock availability. A separate analytical report examines how Indonesia can capture more value from its nickel and cobalt resources while managing environmental, geopolitical, and technology risks across the full value chain.

In Australia, Legacy Minerals has commissioned WSP Australia to prepare an updated Mineral Resource Estimate for its NiCo Young Project in New South Wales, with On the technology front, the Korea Institute of Energy Research has developed a heterostructure electrode combining nickel oxide and a nickel–cobalt alloy that replaces precious-metal catalysts in alkaline water electrolysis, requiring only about 40% of the energy of a commercial platinum electrode and demonstrating durability over more than 100 start-stop cycles; the team is scaling the technology toward megawatt-class systems. Separately, researchers at Shandong University of Technology and Dalian University of Technology report that a nickel-cobalt LDH catalyst achieves 91.3% Faradaic efficiency and 93.2% selectivity in the electrooxidation of biomass-derived isobutanol to isobutyric acid, advancing selective valorization of platform molecules under mild alkaline conditions.

Lithium

Lithium Argentina closed a US$180 million investment from Ganfeng Lithium structured as a six-year unsecured convertible note carrying a 4.0 percent annual coupon convertible at US$12.50 per share; combined with Cauchari-Olaroz cash distributions, the transaction retires US$259 million in notes due January 2027 and, if fully converted, raises Ganfeng's ownership to 16.1 percent on a fully diluted basis, while also funding a phased direct lithium extraction Stage 2 expansion targeting an additional 45,000 tonnes per annum and a joint venture consolidating the Pozuelos-Pastos Grandes project, expected to close by end of September.

R3 Lithium raised an oversubscribed US$15 million Series A led by TDK Ventures alongside Integral GlobalTech Partners and Axial Partners to expand a 154,000-square-foot lithium carbonate recovery facility in Covington, Georgia, which holds 30,000 metric tonnes of battery shredding capacity and a 2,500-metric-tonne lithium carbonate recovery line, with continuous commercial production targeted for 2027 and long-term offtake agreements with Trafigura carrying an aggregate potential value of approximately US$1 billion. The Nevada North Lithium joint venture between Surge Battery Metals and Evolution Mining separately produced 99.95% battery-grade lithium carbonate from project ore through sulphuric acid leaching achieving lithium extractions exceeding 93 percent, with the programme now advancing to pilot-scale work in support of a prefeasibility study.

Rock Tech Lithium upsized a private placement to CA$6 million, pricing approximately 9.2 million units at CA$0.65 — each comprising one common share and a half-warrant exercisable at CA$0.90 for 36 months — to fund a definitive feasibility study at the Georgia Lake mine and development of the Red Rock Converter in Ontario. Green Technology Metals is targeting mid-2028 production at Seymour in Ontario, with a Q1 permit target, ongoing definitive feasibility study work, a C$100 million letter of intent in place, and 25 percent of Seymour's first five years of output under offtake commitment. Tees Valley Lithium has received an £18.3 million UK government funding offer, and Savannah Resources is lithium prices approximately doubled since late 2025 and almost every mothballed mine and concentrator in the state has restarted over the past six months, with at least three operations considering expansions; under the IEA's stated-policies scenario, lithium demand is projected to increase fivefold by 2040. In Zimbabwe, slow sulphate plant construction at two facilities is complicating the government's decision on a lithium concentrate export ban planned for year-end, as a nominal January 2027 deadline for in-country lithium sulphate production appears unlikely to be met by several mines.

Sigma Lithium was selected by Nasdaq to ring the closing bell during United Nations Climate Week in New York, marking the fifth anniversary of its Nasdaq listing and recognising its position as the largest producer of lithium oxide concentrate in the Americas, with the company reporting over 19,000 jobs created across 12 municipalities and more than 1,100 days without a lost-time injury. Arevon Energy celebrated significant progress at Cormorant, its 250 MW/1,000 MWh lithium iron phosphate battery storage facility in Daly City, California, expected to commence operations in 2027 under a long-term offtake agreement with MCE and projected to generate more than US$73 million in property tax revenue over its lifetime.

Hithium unveiled the Power N4.0MWh sodium-ion system, a 4 MWh solution built on the new 785Ah Cell N785Ah offering a 20,000-cycle life, a 30-year designed service life, and a target levelised cost of storage of approximately US$0.015 per kWh, with full-scale production planned for 2027 on existing lithium-ion manufacturing lines. Researchers at Taiyuan University of Science and Technology demonstrated that a zirconium-modified LiMn₂O₄ electrode achieves a lithium intercalation capacity of 22.16 mg·g⁻¹ and a Li/Mg separation factor of 685.43 from Qarhan Salt Lake brine at an energy consumption of 3.61 Wh·mol⁻¹, with manganese dissolution reduced to approximately 51.8 percent of that of an unmodified electrode after 20 cycles. A Yonsei University team demonstrated that repurposed battery separators achieve 99.6 percent salt rejection through two-stage seawater filtration, representing a proof-of-concept application for a component that conventional recycling largely discards. The US House of Representatives passed a trio of waste bills including lithium-ion battery updates and measures for recovering critical materials at contaminated sites, with all three now moving to the Senate for consideration. Onboard battery incidents have jumped 15 percent as power bank use grows, with experts advising on preparation for lithium battery incidents in aviation. Canac deployed a UgoWork lithium-ion energy management system at its expanded distribution centre in Drummondville, Quebec, integrating battery, charger, and cloud-based fleet monitoring software from the outset of the facility's design.

Pax Silica

Kazakhstan joined Pax Silica on June 25, 2026, aligning with the American initiative to secure critical minerals, semiconductor, and AI supply chains, while simultaneously becoming one of 29 founding members of China's World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organisation, established in Shanghai on July 16. A US State Department draft letter, leaked on August 14, warned the 35 signatories of Washington's AI Opportunity Statement that Pax Silica membership is incompatible with participation in duplicative initiatives that conflict with US expectations, with an anonymous US official stating a country "can't have it both ways." The Trump administration was separately reported, as of August 4, to be drafting a ban on Chinese optical transceivers used in data centres, and Washington has continued pressuring the Netherlands to impose stricter limits on the sale and servicing of advanced chip-making equipment, with the Dutch government raising objections to proposed US legislation that would further restrict such exports to China. The White House's National Security Science and Technology Strategy, released on August 18, identified investment restrictions and export controls as tools to shape the global technology landscape, though analysts note these measures impose mounting compliance costs on partner nations, particularly developing economies whose technological ecosystems depend on both Chinese infrastructure and American semiconductors and cloud services.

Rare Earths

Harena Rare Earths announced that it has secured a US$5M DFC facility for its flagship ionic clay deposit in Madagascar, described as one of the largest proven ionic clay rare earth deposits outside China. The funding will co-finance an onsite pilot plant and laboratory, with the company targeting initial production within 20 to 24 months; the DFC relationship is characterized as the first step in a potentially broader U.S. government critical minerals financing arrangement, with growing inbound interest from prospective offtake partners noted.

Critical Metals (Nasdaq: CRML) disclosed that its patent-pending hydrometallurgical process dissolves over 99% of eudialyte concentrate from its Tanbreez heavy rare earth asset in southern Greenland, recovering 19 ultra-high-purity rare earth and critical metal products. The company outlined a proposed joint venture refinery in Romania with capacity to process up to 100,000 tonnes per year of eudialyte concentrate, carrying a preliminary CAPEX of US$1.85 billion and projected annual revenue of US$2.2B, an NPV10 of approximately US$4.5 billion, an IRR of roughly 55%, and an estimated two-year payback period. A silica by-product recovery system is projected to contribute US$400–600 million per year in combined revenue and avoided acid costs, with a tailings stream targeted at approximately 1% of feed tonnage.

At the first Central Asia–Republic of Korea Summit in Seoul, Kazakhstan's President Tokayev proposed a joint Kazakh-Korean minerals company oriented toward deep processing and technology development rather than raw material export. Approximately 80 commercial agreements worth US$19 billion were signed during the visit, including a memorandum between Tau-Ken Samruk and POSCO Holdings covering rare earth separation and refining technologies. Tokayev also welcomed plans for a joint rare and rare earth metals center in Almaty with the Korea Institute of Industrial Technology and proposed a Comprehensive Program for Trade, Economic and Investment Cooperation for 2027–2030, positioning Kazakhstan to enter Korea's emerging separation capacity at the development stage rather than as a downstream raw materials supplier.

Analysis of producer-nation pricing dynamics identifies an opportunity for Australia and Brazil to jointly influence rare earth price floor negotiations currently proceeding without clear input from major producing countries. A de facto benchmark has emerged through successive government-backed offtake deals: the U.S. Department of Defense set a US$110 per kilogram floor for neodymium-praseodymium with MP Materials in July 2025, Lynas Rare Earths agreed to the same US$110 floor with Japan in March 2026 and subsequently signed a letter of intent at that price with the U.S., and USA Rare Earth's acquisition of Brazil's Serra Verde in September 2026 carried a 15-year offtake at the same US government-backed floor. Australia's Critical Minerals Strategic Reserve is developing its own pricing mechanism for rare earths, antimony, and gallium, but the analysis argues that failing to incorporate Brazil's distinct ionic clay cost structures — which differ materially from Australia's hard-rock operations — would require subsequent revision once Brazilian supply enters the market.

Energy Fuels Inc. (EFR) held an Australian investor day in which management outlined a significant transformation toward vertical integration across uranium, rare earths, and magnets, citing major investments in Australia and targeting substantial capacity increases and full supply chain integration supported by a robust financial position.

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